Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ATOM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 6.852617 7.740925 8.715734 9.867315 11.193688 12.677147 14.467038
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 5.579272 6.747740 8.132561 9.904334 12.124464 14.831975 18.410645
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 4.717524 6.004933 7.622034 9.821709 12.765482 16.610917 22.083190
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 4.303776 5.717853 7.583190 10.256773 14.044355 19.299616 27.287332
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 3.845556 5.291442 7.277257 10.250314 14.669145 21.123963 31.510463
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 3.458022 4.904476 6.961825 10.161826 15.124112 22.713906 35.573412
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 3.000881 4.362480 6.355412 9.554416 14.693444 22.863061 37.324931
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 2.780303 4.143603 6.197683 9.602386 15.273794 24.657635 42.048205
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.654699 4.053506 6.221691 9.931056 16.336576 27.368456 48.784934
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 2.514242 3.924391 6.167292 10.117406 17.169372 29.776413 55.343725
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 2.378968 3.789638 6.087819 10.246588 17.907317 32.096489 62.102987
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 2.253543 3.658938 6.000673 10.348282 18.599078 34.408810 69.224485
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 2.074886 3.427393 5.727465 10.098645 18.623911 35.479629 74.026191
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 1.945208 3.269540 5.568702 10.043276 19.017716 37.344095 80.931092
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 1.820672 3.110247 5.392743 9.935298 19.290288 38.990516 87.644753
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 1.782997 3.102929 5.491531 10.369469 20.728424 43.341721 101.730961
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 1.689878 2.986259 5.375691 10.361205 21.224352 45.668468 111.220526
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 1.594906 2.858644 5.227894 10.271190 21.528150 47.593103 120.053596
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 1.446951 2.620139 4.846900 9.656312 20.581693 46.415377 120.169476
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 1.385722 2.544159 4.779860 9.704832 21.164206 49.051211 131.646029
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 1.358833 2.532958 4.840932 10.037466 22.455848 53.666665 150.025474
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 1.318569 2.492075 4.837776 10.226073 23.423275 57.597763 167.286692
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 1.275205 2.441718 4.810656 10.356824 24.263397 61.323910 184.840532